Bears tighten grip on AVAX as open interest rises alongside falling prices

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Avalanche [AVAX] token prices were down by 4.91% in the past 24 hours. This was among the biggest price drops for crypto assets in the top 35, by market capitalization, CoinMarketCap data showed.

Avalanche CoinalyzeAvalanche Coinalyze
Source: Coinalyze

The price drop came alongside an uptick in Open Interest in the past few hours, even as prices fell below the $6.50 local support zone. The spot CVD declined noticeably, and the funding rates also slipped into negative territory.

In other words, the short-term market expectations were firmly bearish. Let’s see what the price trends hold in store for AVAX bulls.

The Avalanche bulls’ struggles have centered around $7 recently

In a recent report, AMBCrypto detailed how the altcoin’s price trends were stalling even after a 20x surge in daily transactions onchain. The long-term price trend of Avalanche was pointed downward.

It did not help that in the past 24 hours Bitcoin [BTC] fell below the $65.5k local support zone and was trading below $65k too at the time of writing. If this selling persists, it could trigger a bearish market sentiment shift, dragging AVAX further south.

AVAX 12-hour ChartAVAX 12-hour Chart
Source: AVAX/USDT on TradingView

The longer-term downtrend saw a new swing low registered at $5.68. On the 12-hour timeframe price chart above, this has given rise to a bearish swing structure. A bullish structure would have come into play had the $7.08 swing high been broken.

It was tested in early July, but not broken. The subsequent rejection has dragged prices lower. Over the past two weeks, AVAX has traded between $6.38 and $6.78.

At press time, the band of support around $6.40 appeared to have been breached. This could accelerate the downtrend and drive prices toward $6 and below in the coming days.

Traders’ call to action- Maintain a bearish bias

As the Coinalyze data showed, short-selling was becoming popular. As bearish conviction takes root in the derivatives market, it could lead to a short squeeze.

Avalanche Liquidation HeatmapAvalanche Liquidation Heatmap
Source: CoinGlass

The 2-week AVAX liquidation map underlined this threat precisely. To the north, the $6.70-$6.85 area had a dense cluster of short liquidations. This area can be a key magnetic zone that pulls prices upward briefly, before a continuation of the existing bearish trend.

Therefore, traders can maintain a bearish bias but also be wary of a short squeeze.


Final Summary

  • Avalanche witnessed steady spot selling, a slight uptick in Open Interest, and negative funding rates in recent trading hours- pointing to heightened short-selling.
  • The loss of the $6.50 support zone could push prices toward and below $6.0 next, but traders should beware of a potential short squeeze.

 



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