Bitcoin Didn’t ‘Fail’ Digital Gold: Markets Misread The Thesis

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Bitcoin Didn’t ‘Fail’ Digital Gold: Markets Misread The Thesis


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Galaxy Digital head of research Alex Thorn is pushing back on a growing critique that Bitcoin has “failed” its digital gold promise, arguing that the label was always about BTC’s monetary properties, not a guarantee it would trade like bullion in every macro regime.

In a post on X, Thorn said Bitcoin’s “failure to trade like gold as part of ‘the debasement trade’ since Sep. ‘25’ damaged its narrative with new entrants,” but framed that disappointment as a category error. “When bitcoiners said ‘digital gold’ they were describing its fundamental properties, not that it’s high beta to gold today,” he wrote, adding: “it comes from Satoshi.”

To make the point, Thorn shared a screenshot of a 2010 Bitcointalk exchange in which Satoshi Nakamoto offered a thought experiment about money emerging from scarcity plus transferability.

“Imagine there was a base metal as scarce as gold but with the following properties: boring grey in colour; not a good conductor of electricity; not particularly strong, but not ductile or easily malleable either; not useful for any practical or ornamental purpose,” Satoshi wrote. “And one special, magical property: can be transported over a communications channel. If it somehow acquired any value at all for whatever reason, then anyone wanting to transfer wealth over a long distance could buy some, transmit it, and have the recipient sell it.”

Thorn’s framing is that the “digital gold” analogy is rooted in that passage: Bitcoin resembles a scarce commodity in key monetary characteristics, while adding a feature that physical metals cannot match, native global portability over communications rails.

Bitcoin’s ‘Digital Gold’ Narrative As A Gap Trade

Thorn argued Satoshi’s point wasn’t that the market must price Bitcoin in tight relation to gold at all times, but that BTC’s structural attributes can support a gold-like monetary role if the market eventually converges on that valuation. In Thorn’s telling, the investment thesis is the spread between “fundamental gold-like properties” and the market’s willingness to price Bitcoin alongside gold and the probability of that spread narrowing.

He described Bitcoin’s underlying profile in terms commonly cited by long-term holders: scarcity and durability, with additional monetary traits such as divisibility and self-sovereignty, then pointed to transferability as the differentiator that makes the analogy more than branding. The “alpha,” in this framework, is not short-term co-movement with bullion, but the possibility that the market ultimately prices BTC more like a monetary metal.

The exchange drew agreement from 10T Holdings founder Dan Tapiero, who replied: “Well said.” Tapiero also suggested the current mood around Bitcoin feels like a familiar cycle reset: “So much fear out there on btc. Like the good ol days again.”

Not everyone accepted the premise. One user responded, “It never traded like gold. Just because people branded it like gold doesn’t mean it’s true.” Thorn replied: “that’s literally what i’m saying in the post,” underscoring that his argument is precisely that “digital gold” was never a promise of constant gold-like trading behavior.

Thorn also downplayed the idea that anything material has changed recently in Bitcoin itself. “Basically nothing has changed about bitcoin in the last 5 months,” he wrote, adding that “if anything the fundamentals are even more appealing.”

At press time, BTC traded at $68,048.

Bitcoin price chart
BTC must stay above the 200-week EMA, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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